Tag: prediction

Dying sooner or later? Predictors of pre-30 day mortality versus post-90 day

Hypothesizing that the determinants of death within 30 days of admission to ICU are different to those for death after 90 days, Garland et al looked at a Canadian 11 ICU registry. We’re familiar with survival curves levelling to population baseline rate after a few months (if you can make it 3 months it’s almost like it …

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Which co-morbidities really matter (at least in Scotland!)?

For over 1000 Scottish teaching hospital admissions, using univariate logistic regression: IHD, ALD, COPD, obesity, rheumatological disease, functional status and, just barely, age all impact upon unit or hospital death. Surprisingly many conditions such as DM, malignancy, tromboembolic disease, CVA and several others did not.

Use NEWS in A&E

In this Scottish national audit project a single NEWS score of >8 in the presence of sepsis predicted a >30% chance of ICU admission or dying within 30 days. Interesting from a triage perspective but how about adding the power of a single lactate of more than 2.0 to decide who with sepsis you really should …

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